health

Abigail Spanberger’s terrible gamble

When asked during her campaign last year whether she had any intention of supporting redistricting if elected governor of Virginia, Spanberger replied: “Short answer is no

” The long answer was also no

Redistricting was one of the very few issues on which Spanberger, who mostly spewed vague nonthreatening nonpartisan platitudes during her gubernatorial race, took an explicit position

In the past, Spanberger had preached that gerrymandering was “detrimental to our democracy” and that opposing gerrymandering “should be a bipartisan priority

” It’s certainly not uncommon for politicians to break promises

Yet, it only took Spanberger a few days after her inauguration to go back on hers and sign legislation setting up the special referendum on perhaps the most egregious gerrymandering efforts in American history

Back in 2020, Virginia voted for a constitutional amendment that set up a bipartisan commission to draw new districts explicitly to limit partisan bias in the process

When the commission couldn’t come to an agreement, Virginia’s Supreme Court appointed a bipartisan duo that produced a map that gave Democrats six House seats and Republicans five, which is a reasonable approximation of the electorate in the state

Virginia isn’t the first state to gerrymander its district map

But even a hard-boiled cynic who’s been exposed to partisan ads for decades might be taken aback by the crass dishonesty of the Left’s “yes” campaign

Most of the ads, filled with ominous clips of President Donald Trump and people from minority groups warning that their vote is being stolen, refer to the redistricting as a “temporary measure” meant to “protect fair elections

” Even the text of the referendum claims it will “restore fairness

” Former President Barack Obama is on the television and radio every five minutes arguing that a yes vote “gives you the power to level the playing field in the midterms this fall

” What’s Obama’s conception of “fairness?” Taking a 6-5 split and making it 10-1 in favor of Democrats

Then-Vice President Kamala Harris won the state with 51% of the presidential vote, but now Democrats want 90% of the House votes

There’s certainly nothing innately “temporary” about taking over the entire state and making it impossible for Republicans to compete in House elections

Which is why $40 million has been raised by the “yes” vote, most of it coming from out of state

George Soros alone dropped $5 million

The “no” side has raised $8 million, all told

Whatever happens on April 21, there’s no upside here for Spanberger, who spent a decade cultivating her alleged moderation

Already captured by the hard left in the Virginia legislature, she’s been proven unreliable and dishonest

Spanberger’s approval rating is already brutal for a governor of only a few months, and that almost surely has a lot to do with her partisan power grab

Only 47% approve of the job she’s doing, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll

To put that number into context, Spanberger is the least popular governor this century

No other governor averaged over 40% unfavorability during their terms

No other governor approached a similarly low approval so early

Her predecessor, Glenn Youngkin’s average approval rating was 54%

Thirty-eight percent polled strongly disapproved of Spanberger, which is far higher than at any point during Youngkin’s tenure

The numbers are unlikely to improve if the redistricting passes

Spanberger, who, no doubt, has bigger aspirations, will have sacrificed her popularity to push a scheme

If the redistricting fails, voters will have noticed that the first thing that the governor did was bet big on a national political issue rather than focusing on Virginia, and then still lost

health

Abigail Spanberger’s Terrible Gamble

When asked during her campaign last year whether she had any intention of supporting redistricting if elected governor of Virginia, Abigail Spanberger was crystal clear: “Short answer is no.” The long answer was also no. The answer was simply, perpetually, no. Redistricting was one of the few issues where Spanberger, who otherwise leaned heavily on vague, nonpartisan platitudes, took an explicit stand. In years past, she had famously preached that gerrymandering was “detrimental to our democracy” and that opposing it “should be a bipartisan priority.” It is common for politicians to pivot, but Spanberger’s reversal within days of her inauguration—signing legislation to trigger a special referendum on a map overhaul—feels like a betrayal of her own political identity.

Back in 2020, Virginia voters supported a constitutional amendment to create a bipartisan commission meant to strip partisan bias from the map-making process. When that commission stalled, the Virginia Supreme Court stepped in, appointing a bipartisan pair to draw a map that resulted in a 6-5 split. That outcome was widely viewed as a reflection of the state’s actual electorate. Honestly, it was a rare moment of structural stability. Yet, the current push to alter these boundaries suggests a different goal entirely. Supporters of the new measure frame it as a safeguard for fair elections, but critics see a blatant, math-defying power grab disguised as civic reform.

What exactly does fairness look like to the architects of this new plan? Apparently, it looks like turning a competitive 6-5 split into a lopsided 10-1 advantage for the Democratic Party.

The optics of this campaign are aggressive. With $40 million backing the “yes” effort—including a $5 million infusion from George Soros—the machine behind this move is formidable. Former President Barack Obama is saturating the airwaves, arguing that a yes vote will “level the playing field,” despite the fact that Democrats are seeking 90% of the House seats in a state where they won 51% of the presidential vote. It is a massive, expensive gamble. Meanwhile, the “no” camp has scraped together just $8 million, leaving the opposition heavily outspent as the April 21 deadline approaches and the rhetoric intensifies.

Ultimately, this is a dangerous game for the governor. According to a recent Washington Post-Schar School poll, her approval rating has plummeted to 47%, making her the least popular governor in the state this century. With 38% of voters expressing strong disapproval, the math is undeniably ugly. If the redistricting passes, she alienates a massive chunk of the electorate; if it fails, she will be remembered for gambling on a national partisan issue while ignoring the bread-and-butter concerns of Virginia voters. Either way, the political damage to her administration may prove impossible to repair, regardless of her broader aspirations.

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